Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2869.545754 3103.277978 3340.231351 3598.115329 3870.543862 4149.457936 4456.270550
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2524.477384 2875.185856 3244.042811 3659.673012 4113.724210 4593.460509 5137.407130
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2249.506945 2665.359745 3115.040228 3634.920847 4216.825741 4845.560917 5573.673719
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2102.960378 2573.804867 3094.554720 3709.075975 4410.184714 5180.977687 6088.158220
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1954.172629 2463.700078 3038.879731 3730.211477 4532.389535 5427.767227 6496.413202
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1818.357246 2356.812726 2976.276241 3733.447699 4625.544371 5634.886320 6854.574255
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1640.451151 2187.860770 2829.976188 3628.298275 4583.374786 5678.605056 7018.302156
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1597.861692 2178.865786 2870.672803 3742.007956 4796.549089 6018.083270 7525.869458
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1540.217491 2146.759482 2879.669288 3814.493177 4958.548389 6296.612699 7962.525834
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1452.893215 2072.051563 2831.751077 3813.444101 5028.638516 6463.901916 8266.443889
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1361.218491 1986.718414 2766.060642 3786.228999 5063.299336 6586.151701 8514.918367
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1304.330645 1943.445886 2750.681087 3819.453282 5170.552541 6795.127146 8867.788592
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1232.596131 1878.323889 2706.025783 3815.347918 5232.422552 6951.368130 9161.314480
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1194.088856 1856.027523 2715.534180 3879.749831 5380.387239 7214.454664 9587.871000
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1122.476332 1784.780691 2657.516754 3853.896905 5411.649311 7331.588974 9834.231829
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1095.957775 1774.557062 2679.302696 3931.345634 5574.536950 7613.093717 10285.365780
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1050.623832 1735.473442 2660.331014 3953.416736 5665.042429 7803.492190 10623.646918
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1001.530636 1688.612580 2628.694274 3956.796095 5729.947658 7960.909771 10920.769113
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 916.480444 1585.421094 2515.717377 3846.979353 5643.189481 7922.639649 10968.921924
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 913.133503 1602.765166 2570.674965 3965.734811 5859.076891 8273.208090 11512.425690
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 895.991751 1598.431131 2594.430942 4041.415776 6017.929904 8551.250191 11965.311355
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 855.532125 1556.821704 2563.599587 4040.320561 6073.123415 8694.833888 12246.492060
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 809.048705 1503.803245 2514.446511 4011.907367 6090.071302 8787.740265 12462.186058